# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Clara Tauson vs Oleksandra Oliynykova

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 16:14:34 GMT. 24h change -58.5pp, 24h volume $196.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-tauson-oliynyk-2026-05-07
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-tauson-oliynyk-2026-05-07
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T16:14:34.199Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -58.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $196.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $197.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $214.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Clara Tauson and Oleksandra Oliynykova in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Clara Tauson' if Clara Tauson advances against Oleksandra Oliynykova.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Oleksandra Oliynykova' if Oleksandra Oliynykova advances against Clara Tauson.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb0da…f3f0` — 16,348 shares
- `0x38c2…d3a7` — 5,588.51 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 2,095.141 shares
- `0x04a1…3527` — 2,080.64 shares
- `0xf4d6…8f66` — 1,877.234 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xaa08…d98a` — 2,836.986 shares
- `0x01c7…e995` — 578.686 shares
- `0xd9e0…05f2` — 240.009 shares
- `0x948b…a188` — 135.766 shares
- `0xc75b…3ea7` — 135.131 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 48 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T17:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T15:41:03.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 60¢ |
| Net change | -54.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-tauson-oliynyk-2026-05-07` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Clara Tauson vs Oleksandra Oliynykova — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T16:14:34.199Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-tauson-oliynyk-2026-05-07.
```

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