# GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbaj

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 63% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 19:29:02 GMT. 24h change -21.0pp, 24h volume $583.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-teichma-kabbaj-2026-05-21
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-teichma-kabbaj-2026-05-21
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T19:29:02.182Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **63¢** (63%) |
| Δ 1h | -8.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -21.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $583.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $583.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $46.5K |
| Spread | 5.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Jil Teichmann and Yasmine Kabbaj in the GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jil Teichmann' if Jil Teichmann advances against Yasmine Kabbaj.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Kabbaj' if Yasmine Kabbaj advances against Jil Teichmann.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 85%): Probability moved down 21.0pp in 24h with 12.5× liquidity turnover.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xcd3f…8e2b` — 18,181.8 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 13,078.229 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 11,027.221 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 9,428.6 shares
- `0x482d…ba5e` — 7,374.59 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x204f…5e14` — 15,246.676 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 14,448.906 shares
- `0x5af4…a7df` — 7,340.827 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 7,019.324 shares
- `0x42c9…9623` — 4,770.391 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 27 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T17:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T18:56:04.000Z |
| Range | 53¢ → 89¢ |
| Net change | -30.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-teichma-kabbaj-2026-05-21` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbaj — 63% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T19:29:02.182Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-teichma-kabbaj-2026-05-21.
```

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