# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjean

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 15:10:57 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $202.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-tomljan-jeanjea-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-tomljan-jeanjea-2026-05-05
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T15:10:57.613Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $202.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $202.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $609.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Ajla Tomljanovic and Leolia Jeanjean in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Ajla Tomljanovic' if Ajla Tomljanovic advances against Leolia Jeanjean.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Leolia Jeanjean' if Leolia Jeanjean advances against Ajla Tomljanovic.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5268…135d` — 9,324.387 shares
- `0x1624…bf63` — 8,609.43 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 5,022.841 shares
- `0x56d2…d7a0` — 4,000 shares
- `0x0e3e…7d88` — 3,320.197 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x7083…1937` — 4,779.53 shares
- `0x7cb2…f12f` — 999.996 shares
- `0x3a30…34b1` — 696.203 shares
- `0x5f07…9d0f` — 600 shares
- `0x01c7…e995` — 386.36 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 21 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T17:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T12:49:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 61¢ |
| Net change | -60.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-tomljan-jeanjea-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjean — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T15:10:57.613Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-tomljan-jeanjea-2026-05-05.
```

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