# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 53% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 21:22:06 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $9.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-townsen-sramkov-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-townsen-sramkov-2026-05-04
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T21:22:06.195Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **53¢** (53%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $9.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $9.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $49.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Townsend and Rebecca Sramkova in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Taylor Townsend' if Taylor Townsend advances against Rebecca Sramkova.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Sramkova' if Rebecca Sramkova advances against Taylor Townsend.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 16,344.469 shares
- `0x0ebb…cb1a` — 12,111.182 shares
- `0x6a88…b859` — 12,012.01 shares
- `0xd3df…82fa` — 9,989.823 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 8,433 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xdcbf…d37f` — 11,111.021 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 6,791.368 shares
- `0xe153…ba59` — 4,985.307 shares
- `0xff81…44c9` — 4,780.268 shares
- `0x3450…6793` — 4,655.022 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T23:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T21:21:04.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +43.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-townsen-sramkov-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova — 53% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T21:22:06.195Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-townsen-sramkov-2026-05-04.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*