# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Federica Urgesi

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 23:09:26 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $161.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-zarazua-urgesi-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-zarazua-urgesi-2026-05-04
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T23:09:26.009Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -55.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $161.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $161.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $308.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Federica Urgesi in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Federica Urgesi.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Renata Zarazua.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfc0c…cfc9` — 11,048.291 shares
- `0x4698…d7a5` — 6,296.099 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 5,072 shares
- `0x09ad…819e` — 2,702.703 shares
- `0xbd2d…0344` — 2,380.952 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x664a…fc5f` — 590.544 shares
- `0x51ad…5e56` — 565.338 shares
- `0x8f76…aea6` — 475.62 shares
- `0x0438…9d98` — 319.976 shares
- `0xa497…7891` — 178.832 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 19 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T23:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T16:41:05.000Z |
| Range | 34¢ → 83¢ |
| Net change | -26.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-zarazua-urgesi-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Federica Urgesi — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T23:09:26.009Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-zarazua-urgesi-2026-05-04.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*