# Xi Jinping out by June 30?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 14:34:37 GMT. 24h change -0.2pp, 24h volume $347.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/xi-jinping-out-by
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/xi-jinping-out-by
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T14:34:37.256Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.2pp |
| Δ 1w | -0.5pp |
| 24h volume | $347.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $2.6M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $48.0K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6806…3a05` — 115,559.052 shares
- `0x4fc1…84a7` — 90,513.387 shares
- `0x1934…0a4b` — 60,004.488 shares
- `0x5bff…63e0` — 25,329.276 shares
- `0xe9d8…31d3` — 19,400 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9604…d686` — 56,094.842 shares
- `0xe873…e652` — 37,040.477 shares
- `0xecc9…8d53` — 33,303.86 shares
- `0x45b3…35bc` — 20,000 shares
- `0x43b4…ec9c` — 19,604.763 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T15:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T14:21:06.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 2¢ |
| Net change | -0.6pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=xi-jinping-out-by` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Xi Jinping out by June 30? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T14:34:37.256Z from https://orrery.me/markets/xi-jinping-out-by.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*