The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 87¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Geopolitics · open · vol $30.1K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 87¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.