Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Resolves in 61h.

Probability

4¢

24h volume

$48.3K

Source path

to the listed player who wins the 2026 The Open Championship tournament

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 19, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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