Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 16, 2022
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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