Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Amphenol (APH) Q2 organic sales growth 32%-36%?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

26¢

24h volume

$40.00

Source path

to Amphenol's organic sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 29, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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