Orrery Resolution Risk

Settlement is still pending.

UMA pending

Price can look final before UMA confirmation. Verify the source before treating it as outcome.

Market

Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$13.8K

Source path

using the total token supply multiplied by the token price

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01UMA status: proposed
  • 02Expiry: Jan 1, 2028
  • 03Check whether UMA has proposed, disputed, or finalized the result.
  • 04Confirm the primary source named by the market rules.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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