Orrery Resolution Risk

Expired is not resolved.

Expired, unresolved

The expiry has passed, but upstream has not confirmed an official resolution.

Market

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.

Probability

14¢

24h volume

$3.4K

Source path

IMF

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Apr 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Check the official source named by the contract.
  • 04Wait for upstream resolution before treating price as final.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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