Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$392.34

Source path

to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Moneta

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Sep 17, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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