Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
1¢
24h volume
$43.6K
Source path
the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 11, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.