Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
51¢
24h volume
$10.00
Source path
the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 20, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.