Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Fire - Who wins the toss?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
1¢
24h volume
$191.75
Source path
that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 12, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.