Orrery Resolution Risk

Settlement is still pending.

UMA pending

Price can look final before UMA confirmation. Verify the source before treating it as outcome.

Market

The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Fire - Who wins the toss?

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Probability

47¢

24h volume

$221.50

Source path

that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01UMA status: proposed
  • 02Expiry: Aug 12, 2026
  • 03Check whether UMA has proposed, disputed, or finalized the result.
  • 04Confirm the primary source named by the market rules.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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