Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Resolves in 58h.
Probability
34¢
24h volume
$711.63
Source path
Polymarket Post Counter (tracker)
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 11, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.