Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

15¢

24h volume

$181.41

Source path

Polymarket Post Counter (tracker)

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 9, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket