Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Resolves in 54h.

Probability

3¢

24h volume

$3.4K

Source path

Polymarket Post Counter (tracker)

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 1, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket