Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Draw at halftime?

Resolves in 47h.

Probability

33¢

24h volume

$20.00

Source path

official statistics

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 23, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.