Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 104-105°F on August 7?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
0¢
24h volume
$258.34
Source path
the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in t
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 7, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.