Orrery Resolution Risk

Expired is not resolved.

Expired, unresolved

The expiry has passed, but upstream has not confirmed an official resolution.

Market

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 10?

Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.

Probability

24h volume

$6.0K

Source path

the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in t

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 10, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Check the official source named by the contract.
  • 04Wait for upstream resolution before treating price as final.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.