Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

I'll read the skill first to apply the correct format.Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

39¢

24h volume

$37.89

Source path

Official FIFA data

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 20, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.