Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution source needs verification.

Source unclear

Orrery could not extract a high-confidence source from public metadata.

Market

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

8¢

24h volume

$15.5K

Source path

No primary resolution source extracted

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the full market description before treating price moves as information.
  • 04Look for official-source language or a fallback source in the contract text.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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