Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Chicago Fire FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5
Resolves in 22h.
Probability
59¢
24h volume
$6.99
Source path
official statistics
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 7, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.