Orrery Resolution Risk

Expired is not resolved.

Expired, unresolved

The expiry has passed, but upstream has not confirmed an official resolution.

Market

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 1?

Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.

Probability

24h volume

$9.3K

Source path

weather.gov.hk

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 1, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Check the official source named by the contract.
  • 04Wait for upstream resolution before treating price as final.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.