Orrery Resolution Risk

Expired is not resolved.

Expired, unresolved

The expiry has passed, but upstream has not confirmed an official resolution.

Market

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 10?

Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$1.0K

Source path

the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in th

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 10, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Check the official source named by the contract.
  • 04Wait for upstream resolution before treating price as final.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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