Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the first report of data for Feb 2024 compared with the Jan 2024 at the time of February's release, regardless of future

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Mar 1, 2024
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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