Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 23?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

nasdaq.com

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Feb 23, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.