Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5

Resolves in 54h.

Probability

25¢

24h volume

$240.42

Source path

nba.com

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 9, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket