Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
Resolves in 27h.
Probability
51¢
24h volume
$72.73
Source path
based on the score at halftime only
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: May 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.