Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5
Resolves in 25h.
Probability
41¢
24h volume
$32.00
Source path
NBA.com
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: May 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.