Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
Resolves in 27h.
Probability
50¢
24h volume
$5.1K
Source path
nba.com
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: May 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.