Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Rams vs. Chiefs
Resolves in 40h.
Probability
43¢
24h volume
$747.76
Source path
nfl.com
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 15, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.