Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

89¢

24h volume

$1.1K

Source path

to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the August 2026 mee

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 6, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.