Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Record low border encounters in April?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the first report of data for April 2025, regardless of future revisions

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: May 15, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.