Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
12¢
24h volume
$26.73
Source path
to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.