Orrery Resolution Risk

Settlement is still pending.

UMA pending

Price can look final before UMA confirmation. Verify the source before treating it as outcome.

Market

Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$402.75

Source path

Polymarket Post Counter (tracker)

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01UMA status: proposed
  • 02Expiry: Jul 17, 2026
  • 03Check whether UMA has proposed, disputed, or finalized the result.
  • 04Confirm the primary source named by the market rules.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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