Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) <-2%?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

1¢

24h volume

$259.50

Source path

to Thermo Fisher's organic revenue growth for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company ea

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 23, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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