Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Trump positive favorability on April 1?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 1, 2025

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Apr 1, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket