Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Trump positive favorability on Day 100?
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.
Probability
0¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 29, 2025
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Apr 29, 2025
- 02UMA status: resolved
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.