Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Trump vs. Biden: Who raised more in June?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the "Total Receipts" reported for the period covering June 1, 2024, through June 30, 2024 found on the FEC filings

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 20, 2024
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.