Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $390?

Resolves in 68h.

Probability

27¢

24h volume

$947.82

Source path

split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 26, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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