Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile <18¢?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

5¢

24h volume

$842.86

Source path

to United Airlines' total revenue per available seat mile (TRASM), reported in cents, for the upcoming second fiscal qua

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 15, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket