Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Group Stage
Resolves in 63h.
Probability
34¢
24h volume
$462.60
Source path
consensus of credible reporting
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 29, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.