Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the information made available by the Elections Division of the Arizona Secretary of State’s Office

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 14, 2022
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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