Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the information made available by the Elections Division of the Texas Secretary of State’s Office

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Nov 20, 2020
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.