Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Live

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Probability

77¢

24h volume

$654.49

Source path

White House

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 28, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.