Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling aver

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Sep 17, 2024
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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